Insights and Predictions for the CIO Space in 2025 – Predict 2025
Dion Hinchcliffe, vice president and practice lead, CIO insights at Futurum, shares his insights and 2025 predictions for the CIO space and the key issues driving them: agent-based AI, superintelligence and artificial general intelligence, modernizing existing workloads, balancing existing workloads increasingly between private and public clouds, and more.
How will these shifts impact your IT strategy in 2025? Explore the full report and unlock the insights you need to lead confidently into the future: https://bit.ly/41dbc2a
Transcript
Hello, this is Diane Hitch Cliff. com. And here are my analyst predictions for 2025.
I've got three of them. We're now moving into a new domain called agent-based ai, and this is the next big wave generative ai. And instead of generating content for you, it's this AI that takes direct action on your behalf.
So actually getting work done and, uh, using a browser or using applications and actually accomplishing tasks autonomously across multiple applications. And it can be multi-step tasks and it can be for a long period of time. And so this has implications for the digital labor market very significantly.
A, a large, uh, percentage, and by our estimates, about 4 trillion globally. And labor can be automated in this fashion. So a, a lot of rote tasks that before might've had AI advising you or, or telling you how to best complete that task using content now the AI can just go and actually do it for you.
That has major significance in terms of how CIOs are gonna automate in the future. We've been following all the latest Agentic AI product announcements from the top enterprise vendors. Uh, we have a report coming out in a few weeks that we'll cover them, but, uh, what organizations have to be doing is getting experience now and making, uh, agentic AI perform and do it safely with guardrails.
My next prediction is also about ai, something called super Intelligence. Then the next step beyond that, uh, we may reach, which is artificial general intelligence. And this is a conversation I I don't see enough people focusing on because it has major strategic impact to our organizations.
And this is the top vendors like OpenAI or philanthropic who are, have the stated goal of eventually getting to the most advanced adaptive of ai. That's the A GII just mentioned. But on the way, and we're seeing signs that we're actually starting to reach it is this concept of super intelligence, which is AI that is smarter than our best PhDs, uh, smarter than our best geniuses who can do things.
They can solve problems that humans cannot have not been able to solve so far. And this is we're seeing as, uh, the AI models climb to IQ benchmarks, you know, run every day on all the new models that are being released. Uh, new versions of models that are being released all the time.
We're seeing that, uh, they're closing in on that super intelligence and should be in the lab by the end of the year. And it's something organizations have to be contending with, uh, preparing for because, uh, these super intelligence can allow your organization to do things your competitors can't. It's a very significant, uh, and this, this, um, milestone will be reached here shortly.
Um, and it'll be in production and available to, to all enterprises sometime next year. So definitely have to prepare for that. And my last prediction has to do with the cloud modernizing existing workloads and moving new workloads out to the public cloud.
And that now is because of the cost of, of these new types of workloads, AI workloads are always on. Uh, we also have a lot more, uh, compliance and regulatory issues, data residency we have to deal with. And so private cloud is return to the conversation using the same technologies, but running inside co-location or inside a enterprise data center to really manage costs or optimize performance or do deliver on constraints like data residency.
Um, that can't be delivered easily any other way. And so private cloud is not not gonna be the next new destination. Public cloud is still the primary destination, but we see private cloud emerging as a major Alternative for certain types of workloads.
Those always on those highly perform at those, uh, things like AI training, it have to be run for months, uh, often make sense just to, to, to cut out the middleman and, and, and there's, there was significant cost savings in, in that regard. And so Receipt private Cloud is really being added to the mix, to the whole spectrum of the cloud computing conversation. Uh, it's part of a continuum, uh, where before we only saw the public cloud.
So that's a, it is a major shift. 71% of CIOs say they're reconsidering where we're gonna run their workloads this year. So that shows you how, how big a trend.
Uh, so I predict our organizations will be adding a lot more to the mix going forward. And so those are my, my analyst predictions really focused on the CIO for 2025. com.
